The TLFs INSIDER TRADER!

[PigDogg]

(Bumpa STIKKA @ Jun. 30 2010,21:05) and will continue to do so.

until they don^t.

The key is to determine if the dividend is sustainable.

For example, BP is questionable but a utility stock is more likely sustainable.

Dangerous times ahead,  A death cross is imminent in the USA markets and I believe it has already occured in the FTSE.

That^s when the 50 day moving average breaches the 200 day moving average.  Traders believe this is important so can be a self fufilling phropecy.

My short position is larger than ever.

[azza33]

Just checked it back to 1983 on my S & p data .. gives a few false signals but i can see why your shorts are larger (so to speak)...

Aussie market crossed some time back

[azza33]

(Bumpa STIKKA @ Jul. 01 2010,12:05) If you are a share holder for the medium to long term in the UK then there are many offering yields of 10% and will continue to do so.

I own a Japanese based REIT yielding around 18% (historically) - just went ex div couple of days back... fell 25% so far

You can now pick it up at 23% yield and price/nta of 0.4 -- so much for funymentalanalysis  

[PigDogg]

(azza33 @ Jul. 01 2010,02:43) Just checked it back to 1983 on my S & p data .. gives a few false signals but i can see why your shorts are larger (so to speak)...

Looking at the data, it seems that a golden cross is a better upside indicator than the death cross is for the downside.

I think being short is the place to be and those who are not comforatble shorting should be out of equities.

[azza33]

I think being short is the place to be and those who are not comforatble shorting should be out of equities.

I'm sitting 50% cash and 50% short term trades that have becomes long term investments

[manarak]

(PigDogg @ Jul. 01 2010,18:11)

(azza33 @ Jul. 01 2010,02:43) Just checked it back to 1983 on my S & p data .. gives a few false signals but i can see why your shorts are larger (so to speak)...

Looking at the data, it seems that a golden cross is a better upside indicator than the death cross is for the downside.

I think being short is the place to be and those who are not comforatble shorting should be out of equities.

not surprising, since a lot of investors are not allowed to short.


what are you shorting, PD?

[manarak]

I just took a look at the stats...
Traded volumes are huge, inspite most private investors being already dry.
This could get very ugly.

I guess most funds are changing their allocation and reduce their stocks exposure.

[manarak]

I'll start buying Google at 350 and down.

[PigDogg]

(manarak @ Jul. 01 2010,06:46) what are you shorting, PD?

I am keeping it simple and shorting the S&P500 using the ticker SH. I suppose I could slice and dice but I like that this ETF has heavy volume.

[azza33]

Good option IMO, low cost, and far simpler than physically shorting.

We have mini shorts here in oz... may have mentioned them before....

They are a deep in the money option product but delta is fixed at 1.0 and a built in stop loss.

eg ANZKZT or ANZKZX take a look on asx.com.au if you havent seen these derivatives before.

[manarak]

nothing is as simple and cheap as a short future.

[thaibound]

nor as sad as having one

[manarak]

LOL

[PigDogg]

Yo Manarak, The oil trader banned in the UK for trading 500M in oil while drunk just landed a job in Switzerland.

[manarak]

any links?