The TLFs INSIDER TRADER!

[SamplerDoc]

I happen to think the market in the past few years has been a great money making oppurtunity and if you have invested properly you should have made boat loads.

As I said before................if you invested and sold off your winners recently. Its time to invest again

[azza33]

Well 50/50 chance you will be correct on that last call.

For the Aussies, check out KYC - nil debt 26mil cash in the bank, equating to 35cps asset backing & a business that's trading well.

I'll give it six months to see if it performs before dumping it.

Monday could be a good day to pick it up cheaply.

I suspect its discounted due to its history

[JaiDee]

Everyone got bombed in May, today also........it's a bad time for everyone right now.

Robert Reich says we are heading into a 2nd recession......errrrrr, when did we leave the first one, exactly??

[El_hefe]

Well, I think the time to buy things is when everyone is running to the exits trying to dump their stuff. I think this is a good time to buy equities & housing in the US..... 5-10 years from now we'll be in another boom & can sell these to folks who are buying everything.

[JaiDee]

Agreed, but what if all your cash is already all tied up in equities because you figured a year ago was the best time to buy?

We just have to be patient and hope for a comeback, thankfully everything I have tied up in the market myself isn't needed for a few years so I can just let it sit.

[azza33]

I hope these charts are readable... as i feel comments like about show a grave miscalculation of the precipice where we now sit.

This is Japan from 20 yrs on from its peak - it is down 65% .... You do know USA is fighting the same battle that Japan did 20 years ago.

For whats its worth.... I think the US is fucked beyond repair.... you cant have the mortgage default rates that exist in the US banking sector and have profits. Something does not add up there. I suspect its hidden behind the legislation that passed to not have to write off toxic assets in the previous ways.

[azza33]

This is China... not what i'd call overly positive either  

[JaiDee]

(azza33 @ Jun. 05 2010,20:21) .... I think the US is fucked beyond repair..

Awesome!!

Happy weekend!

[azza33]

Now the S & P ... well this is the weekly, and if it takes out these recent lows on heavy volume... it could fall a long long way  

[azza33]

(JaiDee @ Jun. 05 2010,20:23)

(azza33 @ Jun. 05 2010,20:21) .... I think the US is fucked beyond repair..

Awesome!!  

 Happy weekend!

The national rate for seriously delinquent mortgage€™s (mortgages that are 90+ days delinquent) increased in January as well to a rate of 8.66 percent, an increase of 56.6 percent from a year ago when the rate was 5.53 percent.

A report released by First American CoreLogic shows the foreclosure rate in the US increased in January to 3.19 percent, an increase of 60.3 percent from a year ago

The Mortgage Bankers Association reports that 14 percent of mortgage loans on one- to four-unit homes were 30 days or more days delinquent, or in the foreclosure process as of March 31.

Some borrowers end up staying in their homes for a year or two even after they stop making mortgage loan payments, waiting to be ejected through a clogged foreclosure system. Around 2.6 million homeowners are more than 90 days delinquent, but not yet in foreclosure; this process can take more than a year.

I haven't cross checked the data... but it doesn't make for good reading

[manarak]

(JaiDee @ Jun. 05 2010,20:23)

(azza33 @ Jun. 05 2010,20:21) .... I think the US is fucked beyond repair..

Awesome!!  

 Happy weekend!

there's just a problem with that - EU is already fucked too or is heading the same way...

The big powers will just agree that everything is fine, and that will be it.

[azza33]

please elaborate... i understand i think what you are saying but if 3,4,5... government default in the EU
and US keeps racking up trillion dollar deficits that are not arrested any time soon... there will be blood.

[Torurot]

Investment Firms Grab Stock Data First, and Use It Seconds Before Others
http://finance.yahoo.com/banking....ew-edge
June 4th, 2010

This is an easy to understand piece about high frequency trading.

Via: Wall Street Journal:

Some fast-moving computer-driven investment firms are getting an edge by trading on market data before it gets to other investors, according to market players and researchers who have studied the trading.

The firms gain that advantage by buying data from stock exchanges and feeding it into supercomputers that calculate stock prices a fraction of a second before most other investors see the numbers. That lets these traders shave pennies per share from trades, which when multiplied by thousands of trades can earn the firms big profits.

Critics all the practice the modern day equivalent of looking at share prices listed in tomorrow€™s newspaper stock tables today.

€œIt is a rigged game,€ Sal Arnuk, co-founder of brokerage firm Themis Trading, said Wednesday at a Securities and Exchange Commission roundtable discussion in Washington, D.C., referring to the trading activity, which some call €œlatency arbitrage.€

While legal, the practice pushes the envelope of what is fair, critics say, and raises questions about the advantages some fast-moving traders are gaining in the market.

The SEC roundtable convened executives from trading centers and firms across Wall Street as the agency continues to probe high-frequency trading and the growth of dark pools, trading venues where trades take place away from the main exchanges.

High-frequency trading has come under greater scrutiny since the May 6 €œflash crash,€ when some high-frequency firms along with a number of other active traders withdrew from the market, arguably exacerbating the stocks€™ swift downdraft that day.

High-speed trading, now estimated to account for about two-thirds of U.S. stock market volume, takes many forms, some entirely proper. Defenders say it reduces trading costs for all investors by adding volume to the market. Latency arbitrage is a type of trading that relies on ultrahigh speeds; it€™s not clear which firms engage in it or how pervasive it is.

Some firms pay tens of thousands of dollars a year to individual exchanges for premium access to their price feeds, industry players and exchanges say.

The SEC, in a broad review of market structure earlier this year, said information from trading-center data feeds €œcan reach end-users faster than the consolidated data feeds.€

The latency arbitrage trade aims to game the so-called national best bid and offer price on a stock, which sets the price most investors use to trade.

The ability to estimate price moves ahead of the national best bid and offer price, which is consolidated electronically from exchanges, can give traders an advantage of about 100 to 200 milliseconds over investors who use standard market tools, according to a November 2009 report on such trading activities by Jefferies & Co.

An advanced look at exchange data and order flow can provide firms €œthe ability to forecast future prices€ and €œmake adjustments to their orders in the market or send new orders which are based on this information,€ the report found.

Some investors are searching for ways to protect themselves. Rich Gates, co-founder of TFS Capital LLC, started becoming concerned about latency arbitrage in early 2009 after a Wall Street bank pitched the trade to his firm.

In hundreds of tests, TFS has found that some of its trades were getting picked off by firms exploiting the time-delay wrinkle. That was costing the firm money.

To learn more, TFS, which manages about $1.1 billion in mutual funds and hedge funds, devised a method to essentially bait firms into engaging in the trade. In effect, TFS proved that some traders were wise to a movement in a stock€™s price before it happened.

On a March afternoon, a TFS trader sent an order to a broker to buy shares of Nordson Corp., a maker of fluid dispensing equipment. The trader sent an instant message to the broker: €œplease route to broker pool #2,€ a request to send the order to a specific dark pool.

The trader told the broker not to pay a price higher than the midpoint between what buyers and sellers were offering, which at the time was $70.49.

Several seconds after the dark pool order was placed, the market price didn€™t change. Then the TFS trader set a trap: he sent a separate order into the broader market to sell Nordson for a price that pushed the midpoint price down to $70.47.

Almost immediately, TFS was sold Nordson for $70.49 €” the old, higher midpoint €” in broker pool No. 2, which didn€™t reflect the new sell order. TFS got stuck paying two cents more than it should have, suggesting that some seller knew the higher price was a good deal to nab quickly.

Such trades are €œunusually suspicious,€ said Mr. Gates.

Most dark pool operators say they police investors for improper activities. Liquidnet, which runs a dark pool, had suspended 125 members through 2009 for suspicious trading since its launch in April 2001, the firm says.

[azza33]

If these practice is prevalent, shouldn't the profit on such arbitrage activities be driven to zero??  

[thaibound]

when technology allows a monger to lie on a beach in thailand, receive streaming live quotes, and actively daytrade, it's inevitable that the suits sitting at desks in mega-firms handling billions-a-day will utilize a faster, darker technology to maintain their edge. to think otherwise is as naive as to believe you can predict the market based upon a 'tip' you receive on a ladyboy forum.


pssst, buy prft and ksu and short the dow.