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(trobriand @ May 02 2008,17:45) ..... he designed a mathematical formula for predicting HIV infection rates in Thailand, ......
Fuck the mathematical model€¦ I€™ll give you some real numbers€¦ one of our movie producing buddies whom tests all the Thai girls that apply for work told me that out off 200 girls tested 22 were HIV+ so that put the infected rate at 11%
(trobriand @ May 02 2008,17:45) ..... he designed a mathematical formula for predicting HIV infection rates in Thailand, ......
Fuck the mathematical model€¦ I€™ll give you some real numbers€¦ one of our movie producing buddies whom tests all the Thai girls that apply for work told me that out off 200 girls tested 22 were HIV+ so that put the infected rate at 11%
Not sure that these type of girls that are gagging to do porno shoots are the norm to judge HIV rates...
However that is fucking scary number and is similar to the rate that was found in Phuket through the mobile testing stations they do from time to time.
Both sample bases are not particularly good to use to draw a generalization.
And the question arises with many of the HIV+ girls...
Is the HIV from sex or from the drug use?
If you think of how many BBBJ and bareback sex occurs in Thailand every night... you'd expect everyone to be testing positive sooner or later... but its simply not the case.
I suspect drug use is the biggest spreader of HIV and not sex industry...
(azza33 @ May 03 2008,17:42) Not sure that these type of girls that are gagging to do porno shoots are the norm to judge HIV rates...
Most of the girls gagging to do porno shoots are not school girls... they're hookers from the bars, brothels, and streets. They're the ones you're more likely to come in contact with. So the 11% is a good statistic based of this group type.
I suspect drug use is the biggest spreader of HIV and not sex industry...
The sex industry in Thailand is not just confined to a few smelly shit pits in the big cities. It's everywhere and in every tiny town you go to.
What us farangs see is the very tiniest miniscule part of it.
I'll be willing to favour Bams 11% applies to every poorly educated girl from 20 to 30 in the country. If it is that high then I wouldn't be surprised.
(BAM @ May 03 2008,18:47) Most of the girls gagging to do porno shoots are not school girls... they're hookers from the bars, brothels, and streets. They're the ones you're more likely to come in contact with. So the 11% is a good statistic based of this group type.
I understand what you are saying but its only a select number of people from the population of working girls that want to appear in movie shoots, end up with the faces plastered all over the world.
So IMHO, those likely to want to appear in this type of movies are less likely to be representative of the average working girl in .
From what i've seen most girls are not looking for this type of notoriety and exposure and are just basic girls from the poorer parts of Issan etc looking for a few extra bucks or a visa. The last thing they want to do is end up shaming their families etc. by becoming porno stars.
I think the ones more likely to be doing porno are the hardened career workers and the desperate drug addicted types looking for big fast bucks.
There is no way i would accept these types to representative of the whole to throw around a figure of 11%.
Do you really accept that 1 in every 9 working girls you see has HIV??
The average rate for HIV infection in LOS is around 1-100 for the population as a whole so 10% for sex workers seems about right and my gut feeling is that its a lot more. If you pulled 100 Ladyboys out of Nana and tested them i would put good money on it that 10 would test positive
Depending on the country you look at between 30 and 50% of those infected have no idea.
Although HIV rates among female sex workers are difficult to ascertain, national HIV sentinel surveillance showed 7.7 percent of brothel-based and 4.2 percent of non-brothel-based female sex workers were living with HIV in 2005.
HIV prevalence among IDUs has remained high throughout the last 15 years, ranging from 30 to 50 percent, according to the World Health Organization
Your figures are for female sex workers which makes the 7.7 per cent meaniingless . lets face it the count for LBs who are male for the purposes of this thread would be higher for obvious reasons( obvious to me anyway)
Sorry, I disagree €” this article is interesting, no doubt, but not for its meaning, rather for its vague drawing of a horror scenario, if ... you don't donate. I'd subsume it under the category of "swirled bullshit".
The whole article is inconsistent if looked up carefully. Just one example:
After a national campaign to increase condom use during commercial sex, the use rate for brothel-based sex workers had reached more than 90 percent in 1998, but dropped to 51 percent by 2005.
An estimated 18,000 Thais were newly infected with HIV in 2005, a 10 percent drop from 2004.
Strange effect: the condom use drops, and the new HIV infections as well.
If you look at the figures in this article carefully, you will detect that the are cleverly arranged in bits and pieces €” so that nobody can really draw a substantiated conclusion of it. It's just made to leave you with an uncomfortable feeling of anxiety. And this I know only too well from similar cryptic predictions about climate changes, dying of the woods etc. ...
I think, the more people lose their religios convictions and don't any longer believe in some kind of hell after death, the more they feel urged to make up their own hells right here ...
HIV seem just one of these €” though one of the most popular, helas ...
Terry
... a seasoned guy who loves a number of things making fun — approx. 69
(azza33 @ May 03 2008,19:13) IMHO, those likely to want to appear in this type of movies are less likely to be representative of the average working girl in .
I think the ones more likely to be doing porno are the hardened career workers and the desperate drug addicted types looking for big fast bucks.
Rubbish...I've been with many of these girls who have appeared on porno sites and not one has been a hardened career worker or a desperate drug addicted type...
Moreover, I would wager that the large majority of the families of the poor girls from Isaan don't know what a computer is let alone know how to use one...
"It's not Gay if you beat them up afterwards." --- Anon
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